In a recent change, the Storm Prediction Center added southeast Louisiana to a key risk for severe weather for Thursday. Additionally, a slight risk for the Mississippi Gulf Coast with excessive rainfall for Wednesday & Thursday.
A trough of low pressure over central Georgia will move southward toward the northeastern Gulf. Low pressure area is expected to form on Wednesday. Environmental and ocean conditions are forecast to be conducive for development and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week.
- This system has the potential to produce heavy rainfall along portions of the northern U.S. Gulf Coast later this week.
- There remains a high chance (80%) of tropical cyclone development late in the week, and the formation chance through 48 hours remains low, but has increased to 40%.
- Due to the large uncertainty of the strength and movement of the system, it is too soon to say what specific impacts it may have on the local area.
- However, heavy rainfall is expected across the area through Monday. Rainfall totals of 3 to 8 inches are possible through Monday. Higher than normal tides, gusty winds, and tornadoes will also be possible depending on the eventual track, size and strength of the system. Coastal Flooding may become an issue as well later on this week.